It’s gotten down to this: too
many Democrats are in the race for the 49th, and in California the two who get the most
votes in the June primary, are advancing to the final November vote. The
problem: it could be two Republicans! (More on them shortly.)
We have passed the date when
the weaker candidates can drop out. So Here is why Mike Levin is the BEST, most
electable candidate for, frankly, everyone to support—that includes
Republicans.
Why? First a quick
explanation of the faults in the other three Democratic candidates. First and
foremost, when the Democrats realized the problem that they could be locked out
of even making the primary ballot, their was a forum called “The Viability
Forum” to have all five candidates speak to why they should be the best choice.
All five confirmed they would be there. On the morning of the well publicized
and attended meeting, only Mike LEVIN showed up. (A fifth candidate had the
good sense to drop out.) Mr. Applegate claimed he would go to “a bar” totalk to
his supporters; Ms. Jacobs and Mr. Kerr just said they did not want to be
associated with a PAC (at the last minute), and just like that Mike LEVIN was
the only one there. So lying to the people of the 49th and wasting
so any people’s time and efforts is a huge strike against them.
As for Mr. Applegate, two
things haunt him: he has raise a pittance compared to LEVIN and even Jacobs.
(LEVIN has been one of the first in and has knocked on doors raising 1.2
million to Applegate’s 662 thousand, despite Applegate’s name recognition.
Secondly, the Republican, Diane Hartney, a big Issa supporter and a tax cutter,
will certainly raise the issues that Issa raise (unfairly, I add, but in
politics your past can haunt you). See below:
“Democrat Douglas
Applegate, a retired U.S. Marine colonel challenging Rep. Darrell
Issa’s reelection bid, was accused of harassing and threatening his ex-wife
during their divorce proceedings and child custody battle more than 10
years ago, court
records show….An Orange County Superior Court judge granted Applegate's
former wife, Priscilla Greco, two temporary restraining orders against
him in 2002 and 2004.”
So Applegate could not win
when Democrats came out in droves for Ms. Clinton. He has little chance four
years later. Personally I have issues with his temperament. He comes across as
a ‘tough guy’—but not very smart. I saw him speak to 100’s of people at the
Democratic forum and I am not kidding –the first words out of his mouth were “I’m
gonna beat that SON OF A BITCH (Issa)! Really? Is this the kind of person we
expect to bring a sense of integrity and decorum to government? I can he is the
lesser of the two evils—the two Republican nominees, but we can do better.
As for Ms. Jacobs, if Mike LEVIN were not in this race I would
support her. But her poll numbers will make it very likely that she will
eliminate both LEVIN and APPLEGATE and she cannot catch up fast enough. Check
out this data:
“In a narrowed field of
candidates, Chavez maintains the lead with 23% followed by Democrat Levin at
17%, Republican Harkey at 16%, and Doug Applegate at 15%. “The Top Two primary
math is working against Democrats in these districts,” said Katie Merrill,
chief strategist for Fight Back CA. “With a bus load of Democratic candidates
in each of these races, the odds are increasing everyday that Democrats could
lose these seats without ever seeing the general election “
She grew up at the southern tip of the 49th
district, in Del Mar,…Her grandfather, Irwin Jacobs, co-founded Qualcomm, the
hundred-billion-dollar telecommunications company, and her family are prominent
Democratic donors. That is why she has
1.3 million in her coffers as of Jan 1, 2018. I like her, but she entered the
race far too late and she will rely on a barriage of TV (expensive) ads. In the
end ever person (particularly young folks who vote for her will likely simply
give the election to Rocky Chavez or Hartney who will nudge out LEVIN and the
unelectable Applegate. Had she made the decision to run at the beginning of
2017, things would be different but even she admits at 29 she was not sure she
ws ready. One more thing—the Republicans will tie her to President Obama (which makes
her appealing to me, but she worked for Ms. Clinton prominently as an unpaid
foreign policy adviser on Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign.…and that will hurt
her.) And she DID NOT SHOW UP top the meeting. I saw her speak—she will be
terrific, but right now, she will just end up strengthening Trump’s hold on
Congress. Sorry, Sara.
Mr. Kerr is raising money 1.0
million, but I saw him speak and, frankly, he knows a lot about small business in
exclusively Sa Diego and he is a rags-to-riches- guy, but he will 1. Do what
Ms. Jacobs will do, and 2. He is utterly unprepared for national office. His
lack of knowledge of domestic affairs and international issues was hard to
watch. He just repeats his mantra—I am from here and I’m a businessman. We
deserve someone who already knows the issues and can speak to them lucidly and
has a vision of what is going on in Trump’s administration. Sorry, Paul—run for
State Assembly. Oh, and he also did not show up for the meeting he promised he would!
So why Mike LEVIN? Here is what I wrote on Sunday,
May 7, 2017: I have seen the future of the 49th Congressional District and its name
is Mike Levin ! (It is even truer today IF PEOPLE REALIZE HOW THEIR VOTE IS
PIVOTAL.
“Mike Levin has outraised Applegate in every
single quarter, despite the fact that Applegate ran in 2016 and should have had
a ready-made donor base at his disposal,” Levin’s campaign consultant, Parke
Skelton, said in a statement.
The most impressive quality that Levin
displayed is his temperament. He calmly explained how a disastrous house bill
that has no Congressional Budget Office score was passed with the deciding vote
attributed to Issa--vote 216. This bill has no cost estimate yet, will knock
20+ million people off insurance, and allows insurance companies to weasel out
of covering some people with pre-existing conditions.
Mike Levin has an impeccable resume. He is forward
thinking and knows the Trump agenda that Mr. Issa embraces with glee, despite
the evidence that renewable energy is America's future; that Obamacare is more
popular than ever; and that a 20+ billion dollar wall between the USA and
Mexico (that America will pay for !) is not supported by the majority of voters
or legislators on the border.
Mike Levin sees the future in a world that author Tom Friedman argues is accelerating rapidly. That makes Mike Levin a political rock star...if we are wise enough to listen to him.
Mike Levin sees the future in a world that author Tom Friedman argues is accelerating rapidly. That makes Mike Levin a political rock star...if we are wise enough to listen to him.
Two Footnotes: 1. Ms. Hartney
is cut out of the mold of Issa. Tax cutter, and worked in that industry exclusively.
Orange County all the way. She will be just what Trump wants. 2. Rocky Chavez—“In
the Legislature, Chavez has built a reputation as a moderate with an
interest in veterans issues and education. Last year, he faced heat from his
GOP colleagues after he and seven other Republicans helped pass an
extension of the state’s cap-and-trade system, a signature climate change
program backed by Gov. Jerry Brown.” Now will he cave to Paul Ryan and Donald
Trump? That is a chance, right now, I’m not taking.
And finally why does all this
matter? Our nation’s strength is built on checks and balances. Trump and his
cronies control both houses of Congress, the majority of Supreme Court Judges,
the EPA, the Justice Dept., and he has eviscerated the FBI and NSA as well as the CIA. He listens to no one, except his own TV network. He
will fire anyone who will speak truth to power. As for the massive tax cut he
signed, check out Kansas and Louisiana and see how that’s going. They are
failing states. Now they are trying to reinstate the taxes because the promised
jobs are not coming and the schools and infrastructures are crumbling.
So only through the election
can Trump’s march to power be at least muted. Don’t just believe me: ask
Romney, Bush, and an assortment of Republicans who are leaving office, or are
Generals, former top aides to Republican Presidents, etc. Trump running a muck is
the most dangerous thing to our democracy.
So vote LEVIN. Don’t split
the vote. We live in the most forward thinking state, California, with a 6
million dollar surplus—yes, we are not perfect, but we can stop Trump. 11 seats
are needed. The 49th may be the most critical.
Thanks for your patience. I
know this was a long one. Footnotes will appear in my “comments”—no fake news
here.
These are my personal opinions--in no way has anyone asked me to write this, neither has Mike Levin endorsed my remarks--
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